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A Third of Every S&P 500 Dollar Now Goes to Six Companies

A Third of Every S&P 500 Dollar Now Goes to Six Companies

by Third Pole Markets | Aug 9, 2026 | Finance, The Long View

TL;DR — A third of every dollar in the S&P 500 now sits in just six companies. An index fund marketed as diversified carries the concentration risk of a handful of mega-cap tech bets. Buy the most boring, most diversified investment product retail investors have...
Nvidia Has 60% of TSMC’s Packaging Capacity. That’s the Only Roadmap That Matters.

Nvidia Has 60% of TSMC’s Packaging Capacity. That’s the Only Roadmap That Matters.

by Third Pole Markets | Aug 8, 2026 | Finance, The Long View

TL;DR — Nvidia controls roughly 60% of TSMC’s advanced chip packaging capacity, the process that turns GPU dies into finished AI accelerators. That number predicts Nvidia’s 2026 output better than anything said on an earnings call. Every quarter, half a...
Alphabet Cut Its Buyback to $0. Stock Comp Didn’t Get the Memo.

Alphabet Cut Its Buyback to $0. Stock Comp Didn’t Get the Memo.

by Third Pole Markets | Aug 8, 2026 | Finance, Equity Mechanics

TL;DR — Alphabet spent $13.2 billion on stock buybacks a year ago. This quarter it spent zero, despite $69.5 billion in unused buyback authorization, because AI infrastructure spending now sits ahead of shareholder returns in the capital allocation queue. A year ago,...
Amazon Booked a 245% Profit Jump. The Business Only Grew 43%.

Amazon Booked a 245% Profit Jump. The Business Only Grew 43%.

by Third Pole Markets | Aug 8, 2026 | Finance, Equity Mechanics

TL;DR — Amazon’s net income jumped 245% this quarter. Revenue only grew 43%. The gap comes almost entirely from a change in AWS server depreciation schedules, not from the underlying business accelerating. Amazon’s headline this quarter was a 245% jump in...
The 90-Day Danger Zone: Why Google is the Only Safe Way to Play the SpaceX IPO

The 90-Day Danger Zone: Why Google is the Only Safe Way to Play the SpaceX IPO

by Third Pole Markets | May 22, 2026 | Equity Mechanics

TL;DR — SpaceX’s IPO is expected to list around June 12, with bankers whispering about a fast-tracked Nasdaq 100 inclusion within 15 days. Buying the equity directly exposes investors to 90 days of unvetted, pre-earnings volatility; holding Alphabet offers...
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Recent Posts

  • Nvidia Spent $39.8 Billion on Buybacks in Six Months, Then Added $150 Billion More: Its Share Count Fell 0.6%
  • The Fed Hiked to 3.75%-4% and Called Capital Investment Robust: The 10-Year Yield Topped 5% the Same Day
  • The Big Four’s Combined 2026 AI Capex Guidance Hit $700 Billion: Two of the Four Now Have Negative Free Cash Flow
  • Meta’s Revenue Jumped 28% to $60.8 Billion: Net Income Fell 14% as Reality Labs’ Losses Passed $88 Billion
  • Alphabet Booked $77 Billion From Marking Up Anthropic and SpaceX: Free Cash Flow Went Negative $5.9 Billion the Same Quarter

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